2024 Presidential Election Forecast: Biden and Trump's Chances of Winning

WEB 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model

To win the 2024 presidential election, a candidate needs to secure 270 electoral votes. WEB 538's interactive map allows users to create their own 2024 election forecast by clicking on states to indicate their predicted winner. Users can also create specific match-ups by clicking on the candidates' names.

WEB's model is updated daily and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict the election results across the country.

On Sunday, President Biden announced that he would not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as his successor. Biden had trailed former President Donald J. Trump in recent polls.

Conclusion

The 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be a close race, with both Biden and Trump having a chance to win. WEB's forecast model will be updated daily as new polls and economic data become available, so be sure to check back for the latest updates.